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Module hypothesis

Module hypothesis 

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Hypothesis backlog and typed belief graph with confidence cascade.

The belief graph is a directed acyclic graph (DAG) of epistemic nodes:

  • Hypothesis: a testable claim about an optimization strategy.
  • Experiment: a trial that produces evidence for/against a hypothesis.
  • Observation: a measured datum from an experiment.
  • Claim: a derived conclusion from one or more observations.

When an experiment produces a verdict on a hypothesis, the confidence cascades to dependent hypotheses via the DAG edges.

Structs§

BeliefGraph
The typed belief graph.
Claim
A claim node: a derived conclusion.
ExperimentNode
An experiment node in the belief graph.
Hypothesis
A hypothesis: a testable claim about an optimization strategy.
Observation
An observation node: a single measured datum.

Enums§

ExperimentVerdict
The verdict of an experiment on a hypothesis.

Functions§

evaluate_verdict
Determine the verdict of an experiment against a hypothesis. This compares the experiment result against a baseline.

Type Aliases§

NodeId
Unique identifier for a belief graph node.